Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.001516 0.001692 0.001869 0.002060 0.002262 0.002466 0.002689
2024-12-29 0.001257 0.001510 0.001774 0.002069 0.002386 0.002715 0.003082
2025-01-05 0.001063 0.001374 0.001709 0.002092 0.002515 0.002963 0.003470
2025-01-12 0.000915 0.001272 0.001669 0.002136 0.002660 0.003224 0.003871
2025-01-19 0.000731 0.001111 0.001550 0.002078 0.002685 0.003349 0.004120
2025-01-26 0.000601 0.000999 0.001476 0.002065 0.002754 0.003517 0.004415
2025-02-02 0.000490 0.000899 0.001408 0.002051 0.002816 0.003675 0.004696
2025-02-09 0.000443 0.000876 0.001429 0.002141 0.002997 0.003968 0.005126
2025-02-16 0.000368 0.000806 0.001386 0.002148 0.003078 0.004141 0.005421
2025-02-23 0.000274 0.000696 0.001282 0.002074 0.003057 0.004195 0.005576
2025-03-02 0.000199 0.000601 0.001191 0.002009 0.003042 0.004251 0.005731
2025-03-09 0.000150 0.000538 0.001137 0.001988 0.003078 0.004365 0.005950
2025-03-16 0.000092 0.000454 0.001063 0.001960 0.003131 0.004532 0.006272
2025-03-23 0.000057 0.000402 0.001031 0.001987 0.003255 0.004788 0.006705
2025-03-30 0.000032 0.000358 0.001008 0.002023 0.003393 0.005063 0.007165
2025-04-06 0.000016 0.000324 0.000995 0.002075 0.003550 0.005364 0.007657
2025-04-13 0.000002 0.000256 0.000916 0.002025 0.003572 0.005497 0.007950
2025-04-20 NaN 0.000211 0.000867 0.002016 0.003646 0.005693 0.008318
2025-04-27 NaN 0.000170 0.000820 0.002005 0.003715 0.005881 0.008676
2025-05-04 NaN 0.000162 0.000840 0.002096 0.003922 0.006243 0.009245
2025-05-11 NaN 0.000134 0.000808 0.002104 0.004014 0.006460 0.009636
2025-05-18 NaN 0.000092 0.000730 0.002032 0.003992 0.006530 0.009847
2025-05-25 NaN 0.000059 0.000661 0.001968 0.003978 0.006607 0.010065